retrystorm

confirmedshipRust · CPUCluster & infrastructureJuly 17, 2026

the question

Without jitter, does an exponentially backed-off fleet that fails together retry in lockstep with peak equal to N, and does jitter cut the peak by one to two orders of magnitude with decorrelated best?

what came out

The no-jitter peak equals N exactly at every scale (1k, 10k, 100k) because the whole fleet lands in one 20 ms window. Full jitter cuts the peak about 30x, decorrelated about 67x and is the best of the four, equal jitter weakest. The ordering holds at every scale.

method & receipts

Result: confirmed
Pre-registered — the prediction was written down and committed before the run.
Reproducible — one script re-runs the whole thing from scratch.
Tested — a correctness/benchmark suite ships alongside the code.

→ read the code and re-run it

github.com/v-code01/retrystorm