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basefrontier

confirmedPython · CPUModel behavior & reasoningJuly 6, 2026

the question

Decimal <-> binary conversion -- which direction is harder for a small model?

what came out

Capability-gated: the 1.5B has real frontiers (decimal->binary to 4 bits, binary->decimal to 5) while the 0.5B is at complete floor -- it can't convert even a small number. And binary->decimal is the easier direction. Both pre-registered predictions held. Exact oracle.

method & receipts

  • Result: confirmed
  • Pre-registered the prediction was written down and committed before the run.
  • Reproducible one script re-runs the whole thing from scratch.
  • Independently reviewed an adversarial review pass, kept in the repo.
  • Machine-readable claims every reported number, in a checkable file.
  • Tested — a correctness/benchmark suite ships alongside the code.

→ read the code and re-run it

github.com/v-code01/basefrontier